Tuesday, April 19, 2011

Blazers/Mavs, Game 2, Preview to Liveblogging

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It was brought to my attention (thanks, Jamie) that I haven’t talked any NBA around here for a while.  I wasn’t able to watch Game 1 of the Blazers/Mavs playoff series, but I will be able to watch Game 2 and thought I’d try liveblogging the game tonight.

It seems pretty simple as to what the Blazers need to do to win tonight.  First, they need to either make a few outside shots or simply stop shooting them.  It’s been a season long issue that this team lives and dies by the 3-pointer and it seems that when they die by it, like they did in Game 1, it’s in the most grisly of manners (2-of-16).  Second, they need either Gerald Wallace or Wesley Matthews to bounce back.  Wallace has been a model of consistency since joining the Blazers, so it was strange to see him play so poorly in Game 1.  Matthews inconsistency has been a hallmark of his play this season, but he typically can be counted on to follow up a poor showing with a game or two of great play.

I don’t have any worries about LaMarcus Aldridge (and it should show how far he has come this year that I can say that), who the Mavs don’t have an answer for defensively, or Andre Miller, who continues to amaze me with his “old-man” basketball skills. Similarly, Marcus Camby should provide consistent rebounding and defense (why he wasn’t in there in the 4th quarter of Game 1 is hard to fathom, though since I wasn’t watching the game flow, I’ll withhold comment) and Nic Batum will give good defense, even if his shooting stroke is off.

At this point anything you get from Rudy Fernandez and Brandon Roy is a bonus. Rudy had a stretch of the season where it seemed like he was figuring things out and finally finding a role on the team. Then his 3-point shooting cratered late in the season and it hasn’t yet recovered. But Rudy is just a complimentary player, while Brandon’s descent into mediocrity is sad. I keep reading things from writers and bloggers in other cities and they all seem to make mention of Roy still being a threat, even in his current condition. How I’d love for that to be true, but apart from a couple of flourishes here and there, I just don’t see it. He isn’t much more reliable than Rudy at this point, seemingly losing all of the ultra-confident swagger he used to have. I know McMillan thought that playing him in the 4th quarter might bring back a bit of the old Brandon, but it was a failed experiment and even IF Matthews plays like he did in Game 1, I’d like to think his explosiveness and defense provide more of a threat than Brandon does during a close game.

I’ll create a new post when I start the liveblog and you can refresh it all night to follow along.  Game time is 6:30 Pacific, so parenting duties might make it so I have to watch parts of the game time-shifted on the DVR, but I’d guess I’ll be all caught up by the beginning of the second half.

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